Match Info

ISRAEL: Liga Alef South - Round 27

Date: 12 April 2024, Friday


	Nordia Jerusalem		Hapoel Kfar Shalem

	1	X	2
	4.6	3.3	1.65
	4.73	3.51	1.62
	4.73	3.51	1.62
	4.82	3.7	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.72 ↑ (3.98)	3.51 ↑ (3.32)	1.64 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordia Jerusalem
19.1%

Draw
25.8%

Hapoel Kfar Shalem
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

27.8%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

27.4%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordia Jerusalem has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Hapoel Kfar Shalem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hapoel Kfar Shalem's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordia Jerusalem than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hapoel Kfar Shalem than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hapoel Kfar Shalem, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Asenka D. ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 1, Exbard I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
83', 1 - 2, Buaron O. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Leumit League).

Recent matches Nordia Jerusalem is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hapoel Kfar Shalem is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Nordia Jerusalem could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hapoel Kfar Shalem will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nordia Jerusalem won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Nordia Jerusalem won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordia Jerusalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.04.24	Maccabi Shaarayim - Nordia Jerusalem	0:1 ✺
04.04.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Ironi Ashdod	1:1 ✺
29.03.24	Ironi Modiin - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0 ✺
26.03.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Bnei Lod	2:1 ✺
15.03.24	Nordia Jerusalem - Maccabi Yavne	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLWL
- Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Israeli Liga Alef South
09.04.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Maccabi Yavne	2:1 ✺
05.04.24	Holon Yermiyahu - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:1 ✺
28.03.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Shimshon Tel Aviv	4:4 ✺
22.03.24	Hapoel Bikat Hayarden - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3 ✺
16.03.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Hapoel Marmorek	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Liga Alef South
25.01.24	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Nordia Jerusalem	2:2
21.01.22	Nordia Jerusalem - Hapoel Kfar Shalem	0:3
24.09.21	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Nordia Jerusalem	1:0
09.11.19	Hapoel Kfar Shalem - Nordia Jerusalem	2:0

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