Match Info

Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 21

Date: 21 September 2025, Sunday


	Nordstrand		Lillestrøm 2

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.97	3.76
	1.05	13.37	17.74	Watch
	2.02	4.1	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.02)	7.15 ↑ (4.1)	8.1 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordstrand
70.7%

Draw
15.6%

Lillestrøm 2
13.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

22.2%

32.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.4%

21.4%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordstrand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nordstrand's performance.

Lillestrøm 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lillestrøm 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nordstrand than the current prediction. (-27.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nordstrand that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lillestrøm 2 than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lillestrøm 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nordstrand - Lillestrøm 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 4.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Langbraten P. E. ⚽,
24', 2 - 0, Barbosa S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Arntsen A. ⚽,
68', 2 - 2, Ntiso A. C. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 2, Reinfjord T. ⚽,
90+6', 4 - 2, Lopez M. F. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 9).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Lillestrøm 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Nordstrand could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nordstrand won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordstrand IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
14.09.25	Ull Kisa 2 - Nordstrand	0:5 ✺
06.09.25	Nordstrand - Lørenskog	0:3 ✺
30.08.25	Nordstrand - Elverum	1:3 ✺
25.08.25	HamKam 2 - Nordstrand	2:0 ✺
18.08.25	Strømsgodset 2 - Nordstrand	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLT
- Lillestrøm SK 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
14.09.25	Lillestrøm 2 - Gjøvik-Lyn	2:3 ✺
08.09.25	HamKam 2 - Lillestrøm 2	3:2 ✺
31.08.25	Lillestrøm 2 - Skjetten	1:3 ✺
24.08.25	Lillehammer - Lillestrøm 2	1:4 ✺
16.08.25	Skedsmo - Lillestrøm 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
07.04.25	Lillestrøm 2 - Nordstrand	4:1

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