Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 September 2026, Saturday


	Nordstrand		Lokomotiv Oslo

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.75	2.40
	2.08	3.90	2.50
	2.45	3.81	2.27
	2.27	4.06	2.5	Watch
	2.40	3.75	2.20
	2.26	4.63	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (1.44)	3.98 ↓ (4.5)	2.37 ↓ (4.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nordstrand
39.4%

Draw
22.6%

Lokomotiv Oslo
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

20%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nordstrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nordstrand's form might have worsened.

Lokomotiv Oslo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lokomotiv Oslo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordstrand than the current prediction. (+23.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nordstrand, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Oslo than the current prediction. (-19%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lokomotiv Oslo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nordstrand - Lokomotiv Oslo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Moula J. (Penalty Awarded),
39', 2 - 0, Shahid M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', Asland P. 🟥,
56', 3 - 0, Aljenki O. ⚽,
67', 4 - 0, Moula J. ⚽,
80', 5 - 0, Moula J. ⚽,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 11th and 9th).

Nordstrand is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Lokomotiv Oslo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Nordstrand has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:6 (averaging 1.8:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nordstrand against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Lokomotiv Oslo	22	7	2	13	40:65	-25	23
12	Nordstrand	22	6	2	14	36:51	-15	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nordstrand IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
12.09.26	Union Carl Berner - Nordstrand	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Bærum - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Nordstrand - Grei	3:5 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Nordstrand - Skeid	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.08.26	KFUM 2 - Nordstrand	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLLL
- Lokomotiv Oslo
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
13.09.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Bærum	5:2 ✺
07.09.26	KFUM 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	0:3 ✺
30.08.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Ullern	2:3 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Grorud	1:5 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
15.08.26	Frigg Oslo - Lokomotiv Oslo	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 44 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
25.04.26	Lokomotiv Oslo - Nordstrand	2:1
17.09.22	Nordstrand - Lokomotiv Oslo	2:0
14.05.22	Lokomotiv Oslo - Nordstrand	0:4
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
14.08.21	Lokomotiv Oslo - Nordstrand	4:0

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