Match Info

Division 3 - Group 1 - Round 19

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Union Carl Berner		Nordstrand

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.20
	1.54	4.55	4.15
	1.53	4.43	4.29
	1.56	4.64	4.3	Watch
	1.50	4.10	4.45
	1.58	4.89	4.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.71)	4.49 ↓ (4.6)	4.25 ↑ (3.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Carl Berner
58.6%

Draw
20.1%

Nordstrand
21.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.8%

20%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

17.2%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Carl Berner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Nordstrand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Union Carl Berner than the current prediction. (-12.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Union Carl Berner that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nordstrand than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nordstrand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Union Carl Berner - Nordstrand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Moula J. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, Rosland E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Union Carl Berner is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nordstrand is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Union Carl Berner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Union Carl Berner is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Union Carl Berner won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Union Carl Berner	25	12	2	11	45:41	4	38
13	Nordstrand ✔	25	6	2	17	36:60	-24	20

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Carl Berner
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
05.09.26	Grei - Union Carl Berner	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Ullern - Union Carl Berner	4:1 ✺
07.08.26	Union Carl Berner - Konnerud	1:2 ✺
31.07.26	Gamle Oslo - Union Carl Berner	3:1 ✺
27.07.26	Union Carl Berner - Asker Fotball	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLL
- Nordstrand IF
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
05.09.26	Bærum - Nordstrand	1:0 ✺
01.09.26	Nordstrand - Grei	3:5 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
22.08.26	Nordstrand - Skeid	1:4 ✺
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
17.08.26	KFUM 2 - Nordstrand	7:2 ✺
08.08.26	Nordstrand - Frigg Oslo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 1
02.05.26	Nordstrand - Union Carl Berner	2:1

Union Carl Berner - Nordstrand