Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Noroeste		Aparecidense

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.5	3.4	2.45
	2.35	3.4	2.55
	2.3	3.4	2.6
	2.39	3.48	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↑ (2.3)	3.42 ↑ (3.4)	2.56 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noroeste
38.2%

Draw
26.5%

Aparecidense
35.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

21.5%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Aparecidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noroeste that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aparecidense than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aparecidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Recent matches Noroeste is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Aparecidense is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Noroeste could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
22.10.20	Goianésia - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
14.10.20	Aparecidense - Noroeste	2:1 ✺
10.10.20	Noroeste - Vitória ES	3:2 ✺
04.10.20	Noroeste - União Rondonópolis	2:1 ✺
30.09.20	Operário Ltda - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLWWL
- AA Aparecidense
Brazilian Serie D
21.10.20	Aparecidense - União Rondonópolis	4:0 ✺
17.10.20	União Rondonópolis - Aparecidense	2:4 ✺
14.10.20	Aparecidense - Noroeste	2:1 ✺
10.10.20	Aparecidense - Águia Negra	4:0 ✺
04.10.20	Goianésia - Aparecidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
14.10.20	Aparecidense - Noroeste	2:1

Noroeste - Aparecidense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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