Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 8

Date: 12 June 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estádio José Olímpio da Rocha (Águia Branca) 🌤️ ...


	Noroeste		Nova Iguaçu

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.1
	3	3.2	2.2
	3.1	3.01	2.16
	3.1	3.01	2.16
	3.16	3.22	2.13
	3	3.2	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↑ (2.79)	3.12 ↑ (3.02)	2.16 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noroeste
29.4%

Draw
28.8%

Nova Iguaçu
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

29.9%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

30%

37.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noroeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Joao L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Nova Iguaçu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nova Iguaçu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Noroeste won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Noroeste won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
05.06.24	Noroeste - Capixaba SC	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
02.06.24	Noroeste - Audax Rio	3:1 ✺
28.05.24	Democrata SL - Noroeste	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
25.05.24	Noroeste - Vitória ES	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWTT
- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
01.06.24	Ipatinga - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
25.05.24	Itabuna - Nova Iguaçu	0:0 ✺
18.05.24	Nova Iguaçu - Audax Rio	2:0 ✺
11.05.24	Portuguesa RJ - Nova Iguaçu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
08.06.24	Nova Iguaçu - Noroeste	1:0
15.07.23	Nova Iguaçu - Noroeste	1:1
13.05.23	Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu	2:0

Noroeste - Nova Iguaçu