Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 5

Date: 28 May 2024, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Democrata SL		Noroeste

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3
	2.42	3	3.01
	2.43	2.72	3.01
	2.15	3	3.1
	2.36	2.88	3.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.32 ↑ (2.17)	2.9 ↓ (3)	3.04 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Democrata SL
39%

Draw
31.2%

Noroeste
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

30.3%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29.5%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Democrata SL has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Noroeste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Democrata SL than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noroeste than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Democrata SL - Noroeste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Juninho Potiguar ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
76', 1 - 1, Sacramento ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 7).

Recent matches Democrata SL is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Noroeste is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Democrata SL could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Democrata SL will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Democrata de Sete Lagoas
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
25.05.24	Democrata SL - Betim	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
21.05.24	Serra - Democrata SL	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Mineiro 2
18.05.24	Aymorés - Democrata SL	0:0 ✺
15.05.24	Nacional de Muriaé - Democrata SL	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
13.05.24	Democrata SL - Ipatinga	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTTW
- Real Noroeste
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
25.05.24	Noroeste - Vitória ES	4:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.24	Ipatinga - Noroeste	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
15.05.24	Noroeste - Rio Branco AC ES	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.05.24	Noroeste - Serra	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
08.05.24	Porto Vitória - Noroeste	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 TLLTL

Democrata SL - Noroeste

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Democrata SL - Noroeste Predictions

Key Events of the Match

Preview

Form

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