Match Info

Allsvenskan - Round 20

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Platinumcars Arena (Norrköping)

Referee: Mattsson E. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	HBO Max, Veikkaus TV
Sweden	Discovery+, HBO Max, max Extra 2, TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play


	Norrköping		Elfsborg

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.75	2.05	Watch
	3.4	3.7	1.95
	3.35	3.7	2.08	Watch
	3.43	3.85	2.09
	1.91	3.51	3.91	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2
	3.23	3.72	2.04	Watch
	3.45	4.15	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.45)	3.74 ↓ (4.2)	2.24 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norrköping
30.7%

Draw
26%

Elfsborg
43.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

22%

51.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26%

21.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norrköping has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Elfsborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elfsborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Norrköping than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elfsborg than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elfsborg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	18.7%	68.7%

Norrköping - Elfsborg Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Norrköping will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Elfsborg will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elfsborg: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Elfsborg (1.33) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Elfsborg (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Andersson D. (G) 37. Neffati M. 19. Watson M. 4. Sogaard A. 3. Baggesen M. 11. Lushaku I. 9. Traustason A. 25. Jansson K. 10. Karlsson D.M. 5. Nyman C. (C) 8. Sigurgeirsson I.	1. Eriksson S. (G) 8. Holmen S. 6. Wikstrom R. 2. Yegbe T. 13. Larsson J. (C) 27. Zeneli B. 5. Wenderson 15. Hedlund S. 25. Sigurpalsson A. 24. Ihler F. 21. Ostman L.
Substitutes
28. Andersson A. 18. Arnarsson J. 20. Bronner A. 24. Eriksson A. 7. Fransson A. 14. Kalley Y. 30. Krantz T. (G) 31. Lindvall J. 36. Rawufu M.	28. Aronsson F. 14. Berndtsson K. 17. Frick P. 30. Hagg L. (G) 16. Hellemaa A. 18. Magnusson J. 19. Okeke V. 31. Pettersson I. (G) 20. Rapp G.
Coaches
Falk M.	Hiljemark O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Karlsson D.M. ⚽,
27', Lushaku I. 🟨,
27', Wenderson 🟨,
32', Yegbe T. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Wikstrom R. 🟨,
57', Ihler F. ↓, Rapp G. ↑,
57', Holmen S. ↓, Aronsson F. ↑,
62', Ostman L. ↓, Frick P. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Sigurpalsson A. ⚽,
71', Lushaku I. ↓, Fransson A. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Traustason A. (Pen),
81', Sigurpalsson A. ↓, Hellemaa A. ↑,
81', Karlsson D.M. ↓, Andersson A. ↑,
88', Hedlund S. 🟨,
90+1', Sigurgeirsson I. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 1.

Norrköping is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Elfsborg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Elfsborg might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Norrköping: Bolma S. (Knee Injury) Mitov D. (Wrist Injury)

There will not play in Elfsborg: Pettersson I. (Groin Injury)

There are questionable in Norrköping: Prica T. (Inactive)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Norrköping won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Norrköping won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.7:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Elfsborg - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.27%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IFK Norrköping
Swedish Allsvenskan
10.08.25	Norrköping - Hammarby	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Brommapojkarna - Norrköping	6:4 ✺
26.07.25	Degerfors - Norrköping	0:0 ✺
21.07.25	Norrköping - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
12.07.25	Malmö - Norrköping	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTWL
- IF Elfsborg
Swedish Allsvenskan
11.08.25	Elfsborg - Värnamo	2:2 ✺
03.08.25	Häcken - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
28.07.25	Elfsborg - IFK Göteborg	4:3 ✺
19.07.25	Djurgården - Elfsborg	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	IFK Göteborg - Elfsborg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Allsvenskan
12.04.25	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:0
19.09.24	Elfsborg - Norrköping	2:2
25.04.24	Norrköping - Elfsborg	4:2
28.08.23	Elfsborg - Norrköping	3:2
22.05.23	Norrköping - Elfsborg	1:2
14.08.22	Elfsborg - Norrköping	1:1
29.05.22	Norrköping - Elfsborg	2:2

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