Match Info

NWSL Women

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: WakeMed Soccer Park (Cary, NC)

Referee: Padilla J. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Australia	Stan Sport
Canada	fubo Sports Network
South-africa	SupeSport ESPN 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	NWSL+


	North Carolina Courage		Houston Dash

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	4.10	4.60
	1.53	3.95	4.80
	1.57	4.33	4.88
	1.58	4.41	4.73	Watch
	1.54	4.20	4.65
	1.62	4.18	4.70	Watch
	1.54	4.20	4.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.48)	4.2 ↓ (4.24)	4.74 ↓ (5.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina Courage
58.8%

Draw
21.8%

Houston Dash
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.1%

21.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

20.9%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina Courage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Houston Dash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina Courage than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Houston Dash than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

North Carolina Courage - Houston Dash Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sheridan K. (G) 25. Bell M. 13. Williams R. 4. Jacobs N. (C) 20. Koyama S. 19. Parkinson E. 16. Jackson R. 11. Rauch F. 35. Schlegel A. 10. Ijeh E. 2. Sanchez A.	1. Campbell J. (G) 2. Chapman A. 14. Nielsen P. K. (C) 4. Klenke L. 15. Patterson A. 19. Graham M. 12. van Zanten K. 24. Colaprico D. 30. Ullmark L. 22. Rader K. 23. Faasse K.
Substitutes
33. Betfort H. 26. Boe Risa V. 8. Okafor C. 18. Shiragaki U. 12. Staude N. 7. Thompson L. 17. Weatherholt D. 99. White M. (G) 14. Wickenheiser C.	8. Bain N. M. 10. Berkely M. 27. Boattin L. 6. Bright M. 40. Delisle C. (G) 18. Hardin C. 34. Harper K. 47. Ivanovic M. 9. Larisey C.
Coaches
Lind M.	Gautrat F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Jacobs N. ↓, Staude N. ↑,
37', 1 - 0, Schlegel A. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Faasse K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 2 - 1, Ijeh E. ⚽, Schlegel A. (A),
63', Schlegel A. ↓, Thompson L. ↑,
63', Faasse K. ↓, Larisey C. ↑,
63', Chapman A. ↓, Bain N. M. ↑,
73', van Zanten K. ↓, Ivanovic M. ↑,
73', Ullmark L. ↓, Harper K. ↑,
76', Jackson R. ↓, Wickenheiser C. ↑,
76', Parkinson E. ↓, Boe Risa V. ↑,
80', 2 - 2, Larisey C. ⚽, Patterson A. (A),
85', Nielsen P. K. ↓, Boattin L. ↑,
86', Colaprico D. 🟨,
90+1', Graham M. ↓, Hardin C. ↑,
90+2', Ijeh E. ↓, Okafor C. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 3, Larisey C. ⚽, Boattin L. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NWSL Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

North Carolina may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, North Carolina is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, North Carolina won 12 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 44:29. (average 2.2:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, North Carolina won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 3:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	North Carolina Courage W	27	13	3	11	50:39	11	42
12	Houston Dash W	27	8	6	13	34:39	-5	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina Courage
NWSL
08.08.26	Washington Spirit - North Carolina Courage	3:4 ✺
05.08.26	Denver Summit - North Carolina Courage	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	North Carolina Courage - Orlando Pride	5:0 ✺
25.07.26	North Carolina Courage - Utah Royals	1:4 ✺
18.07.26	Bay FC - North Carolina Courage	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLL
- Houston Dash
NWSL
08.08.26	Houston Dash - Kansas City Current	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Houston Dash - NJ NY Gotham	0:1 ✺
24.07.26	Houston Dash - Bay FC	1:0 ✺
18.07.26	Racing Louisville - Houston Dash	1:1 ✺
12.07.26	Denver Summit - Houston Dash	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

NWSL
25.04.26	Houston Dash - North Carolina Courage	0:1
08.08.25	Houston Dash - North Carolina Courage	2:1
21.06.25	North Carolina Courage - Houston Dash	2:1
24.05.24	Houston Dash - North Carolina Courage	3:0
16.03.24	North Carolina Courage - Houston Dash	5:1
01.07.23	North Carolina Courage - Houston Dash	1:0
28.04.23	Houston Dash - North Carolina Courage	0:1

North Carolina Courage - Houston Dash: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide