Match Info
NSW League One - Round 23Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday
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Northern Tigers |
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Newcastle Jets U23 |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.42 |
4.40 |
5.50 |
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1.53 |
4.20 |
4.50 |
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1.41 |
4.91 |
5.20 |
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1.48 |
4.71 |
4.86 |
 Watch |
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1.40 |
4.85 |
4.85 |
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1.41 |
4.65 |
5.64 |
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1.48 |
4.50 |
5.00 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.84) |
4.6 ↑
(3.75) |
5.08 ↑
(3.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Northern Tigers
62.5% | Draw
19.7% | Newcastle Jets U23
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northern Tigers's performance.Newcastle Jets U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Jets U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (-12.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northern Tigers that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Jets U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 67', 2 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Promotion: ) and 14).Northern Tigers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).Newcastle Jets U23 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0). In this match, Northern Tigers is seen as the favorite.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Northern Tigers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.
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Standings
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Northern Tigers | 23 | 12 | 7 | 4 | 41:21 | 20 | 43 |
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| 13 | Newcastle Jets U23 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 45:55 | -10 | 23 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NSW League One | | | 28.03.26 | Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers | 2:2 | | 28.06.25 | Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23 | 2:3 | | 15.03.25 | Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers | 0:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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