Match Info

NSW League One - Round 23

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday


	Northern Tigers		Newcastle Jets U23

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.40	5.50
	1.53	4.20	4.50
	1.41	4.91	5.20
	1.48	4.71	4.86	Watch
	1.40	4.85	4.85
	1.41	4.65	5.64
	1.48	4.50	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.84)	4.6 ↑ (3.75)	5.08 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
62.5%

Draw
19.7%

Newcastle Jets U23
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.8%

24%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

23.6%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northern Tigers's performance.

Newcastle Jets U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Newcastle Jets U23 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northern Tigers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle Jets U23 than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Newcastle Jets U23 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL NSW (Promotion: ) and 14).

Northern Tigers is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Newcastle Jets U23 is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Northern Tigers is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Northern Tigers won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Northern Tigers won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
04.07.26	Hills United - Northern Tigers	1:2 ✺
27.06.26	Northern Tigers - Dulwich Hill	3:1 ✺
20.06.26	Hakoah Sydney City East - Northern Tigers	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Northern Tigers - Inter Lions	1:0 ✺
06.06.26	Bankstown City Lions - Northern Tigers	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWT
- Newcastle Jets U23
Australian NSW League One
04.07.26	Blacktown Spartans - Newcastle Jets U23	7:2 ✺
27.06.26	Inter Lions - Newcastle Jets U23	2:1 ✺
20.06.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Macarthur Rams	0:1 ✺
13.06.26	Canterbury Bankstown - Newcastle Jets U23	6:5 ✺
06.06.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Prospect United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Australian NSW League One
28.03.26	Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers	2:2
28.06.25	Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23	2:3
15.03.25	Newcastle Jets U23 - Northern Tigers	0:2

Northern Tigers - Newcastle Jets U23: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide