Match Info

NPL NSW - Relegation - Final

Date: 5 September 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: North Turramurra Recreation Area (Sydney) 🌤️ ...


	Northern Tigers		St George Saints

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.60	2.80
	2.15	3.45	2.7
	2.27	3.65	2.72
	2.27	3.8	2.74	Watch
	2.2	3.55	2.55
	2.21	3.56	2.71	Watch
	2.19	3.6	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.17)	3.6 ↑ (3.53)	2.71 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Tigers
41.2%

Draw
25.2%

St George Saints
33.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

25.5%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.1%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

St George Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Tigers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	33.3%	0%

Northern Tigers - St George Saints Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Northern Tigers will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

First leg.

Northern Tigers has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

St George Saints has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Northern Tigers - the odds 2.17 are the expected chance of winning is 41.46%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Tigers FC
Australian NSW League One
29.08.26	Western City Rangers - Northern Tigers	0:3 ✺
22.08.26	Northern Tigers - Macarthur Rams	3:2 ✺
15.08.26	Bulls Academy - Northern Tigers	1:1 ✺
08.08.26	Northern Tigers - Rydalmere Lions	2:1 ✺
01.08.26	Hurstville Zagreb - Northern Tigers	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTWW
- St George Saints
Australian NPL NSW
30.08.26	Sydney United - St George Saints	6:0 ✺
22.08.26	St George Saints - Blacktown City	1:0 ✺
15.08.26	Western Sydney Wanderers Youth - St George Saints	1:2 ✺
08.08.26	St George Saints - APIA Leichhardt Tigers	0:0 ✺
01.08.26	St George Saints - SD Raiders	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWTL

Northern Tigers - St George Saints