Match Info
NPL NSW - Round 29Date: 22 August 2026, SaturdayLocation: St George Stadium (Sydney)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | NPL NNSWF |
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St George Saints |
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Blacktown City |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.60 |
3.25 |
2.45 |
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 |
2.55 |
3.35 |
2.28 |
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 |
2.64 |
3.71 |
2.42 |
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 |
2.56 |
3.95 |
2.35 |
Watch |
 |
2.50 |
3.65 |
2.35 |
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 |
2.50 |
3.52 |
2.33 |
Watch |
 |
2.55 |
3.50 |
2.38 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.56 ↓
(3.26) |
3.56 ↓
(3.73) |
2.37 ↑
(1.93) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
St George Saints
35.7% | Draw
25.7% | Blacktown City
38.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St George Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St George Saints's performance.Blacktown City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Blacktown City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for St George Saints than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St George Saints that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blacktown City than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Blacktown City could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.St George Saints - Blacktown City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Casella J. (Penalty Awarded),
- 16', Husoy J. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone NPL NSW (Relegation) and 12).In recent matches, St George Saints has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).Blacktown City is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, St George Saints has had a series of home games. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St George Saints won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).Including home matches between the teams, St George Saints won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
Last Results with these Odds
St George Saints - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.05%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian NPL NSW | | | 10.05.26 | Blacktown City - St George Saints | 2:1 | | 27.07.25 | St George Saints - Blacktown City | 3:2 | | 13.04.25 | Blacktown City - St George Saints | 3:2 | | 02.06.24 | Blacktown City - St George Saints | 3:0 | | 24.02.24 | St George Saints - Blacktown City | 0:0 |
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