Match Info

Euro Women - Round 3

Date: 10 July 2025, Thursday

Location: Stockhorn Arena (Thun)

Referee: Pesu A. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport 4, New World Sport App, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport, Stan Sport
Austria	DAZN 2, Sky Go Austria
Belgium	BNT News App, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik, VRT Canvas
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	BHT 1
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV
Bulgaria	BNT 1, BNT 3
Canada	TSN 2, TSN+
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	HRT 2, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	CT sport Plus
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Estonia	ETV 2
Finland	YLE Areena
France	Free, Molotov TV, TMC
Georgia	1TV, 1TV Player
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW, ZDF, ZDF SPORTextra
Greece	ERT 3
Hong-kong	HOY TV
Hungary	M4 Sport
Iceland	RUV
India	FanCode, FanCode
Ireland	RTE Player
Israel	Sport 4
Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	RTK 1
Lithuania	LRT Plius
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Disney+
Moldova	TVR Moldova
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Netherlands	Canal+, NPO 3, Sporza
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	NRK 1, NRK Sport, NRK TV
Peru	Disney+
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	TVR+, TVR Sport
Serbia	RTS 2
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	RTVE Play, Teledeporte
Sweden	Discovery+, Kunskapskanalen, SVT 1, SVT 24, SVT Play, Viaplay
Switzerland	Play RTS, Play RTS, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, SRF Info, SRF Info, SRF Play, SRF Play, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	Tabii, TRT Spor
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC Radio 5 Live, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, TUDN App, TUDN
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Norway W		Iceland W

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.3
	2.1	3.3	3.4
	2.08	3.35	3.3
	2.16	3.49	3.46
				Watch
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.15	3.5	3.56
	2.16	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↑ (1.86)	3.39 ↓ (3.58)	3.37 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Norway W
44.4%

Draw
27.7%

Iceland W
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

26%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

25.3%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Norway W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Norway W's form might have worsened.

Iceland W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norway W than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Norway W, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iceland W than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	23.8%	9.5%

Norway W - Iceland W Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Norway will win (votes: 13 - 72.2%). Iceland will win (votes: 2 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Norway: 51.5% – 92.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Iceland (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Iceland (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +0.75 - Iceland (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Iceland (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Norway (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Iceland (votes: 6 - 54.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fiskerstrand C. (C) Fiorentina 3. Woldvik E. Rosengard 6. Mjelde M. Everton 16. Harviken M. Juventus 4. Hansen T. Bayern Munich 8. Boe Risa V. Atl. Madrid 18. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. Arsenal 21. Naalsund L. Manchester United 17. Ildhusoy C. Manchester United 19. Terland E. Manchester United 22. Gaupset S. Brann	1. Runarsdottir C. (G) Bayern Munich 18. Arnardottir G. Rosengard 4. Viggosdottir G. (C) Bayern Munich 6. Sigurdardottir I. Brondby 5. Heidarsdottir S. Valerenga 8. Johannsdottir A. Kristianstad 7. Vilhjalmsdottir K. Bayern Munich 16. Antonsdottir H. Madrid CFF 23. Jonsdottir S. 3. Jessen S. Thor/KA 15. Tryggvadottir K. Kristianstad
Substitutes
13. Bjelde T. Valerenga 7. Engen I. Lyon 10. Graham C. Barcelona 14. Hegerberg A. Lyon 20. Jensen S. Atl. Madrid 15. Kielland J. Wolfsburg 2. Lund M. SL Benfica 23. Mikalsen A. (G) Koln 5. Ostenstad M. Brann 12. Panengstuen S. (G) Brann 11. Reiten G. Chelsea 9. Saevik K. Valerenga	2. Agustsdottir B. Valur 17. Albertsdottir A. Breidablik 11. Anasi-Erlingsson N. Valur 22. Andradottir A. Twente 20. Arnadottir G. Kristianstad 13. Birkisdottir F. (G) Hacken 10. Brynjarsdottir D. West Ham 14. Eiriksdottir H. Leicester 19. Gunnlaugsdottir A. Breidablik 21. Halldorsdottir H. Brondby 12. Ivarsdottir T. (G) Rangers 9. Zomers D. Leuven
Coaches
Grainger G.	Halldorsson T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Jonsdottir S. ⚽, Johannsdottir A. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Gaupset S. ⚽, Boe Risa V. (A),
26', 2 - 1, Gaupset S. ⚽, Boe Risa V. (A),
35', Viggosdottir G. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Harviken M. ↓, Lund M. ↑,
46', Boe Risa V. ↓, Kielland J. ↑,
49', 3 - 1, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ⚽, Gaupset S. (A),
57', Tryggvadottir K. ↓, Albertsdottir A. ↑,
57', Antonsdottir H. ↓, Brynjarsdottir D. ↑,
61', Terland E. ↓, Saevik K. ↑,
64', Lund M. 🟨,
71', Vilhjalmsdottir K. ↓, Andradottir A. ↑,
71', Jessen S. ↓, Eiriksdottir H. ↑,
73', Ildhusoy C. ↓, Jensen S. ↑,
76', 4 - 1, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ⚽,
79', Mjelde M. ↓, Ostenstad M. ↑,
82', Johannsdottir A. ↓, Agustsdottir B. ↑,
84', 4 - 2, Eiriksdottir H. ⚽, Jonsdottir S. (A),
90+4', Lund M. 🟨,
90+5', 4 - 3, Viggosdottir G. (Pen),

Preview

Norway is Qualified for Euro Women (Play Offs )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Norway won 2.

Norway is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Iceland is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Norway might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Norway won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Norway W
UEFA Euro Women
06.07.25	Norway W - Finland W	2:1 ✺
02.07.25	Switzerland W - Norway W	1:2 ✺
Friendly International Women
26.06.25	Norway W - Sweden W	0:2 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Switzerland W - Norway W	0:1 ✺
30.05.25	Norway W - Iceland W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWT
- Iceland W
UEFA Euro Women
06.07.25	Switzerland W - Iceland W	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Iceland W - Finland W	0:1 ✺
Friendly International Women
27.06.25	Serbia W - Iceland W	1:3 ✺
UEFA Nations League Women
03.06.25	Iceland W - France W	0:2 ✺
30.05.25	Norway W - Iceland W	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League Women
30.05.25	Norway W - Iceland W	1:1
04.04.25	Iceland W - Norway W	0:0
Friendly International Women
23.01.18	Norway W - Iceland W	2:1
Algarve Cup Women
01.03.17	Norway W - Iceland W	1:1
06.03.15	Norway W - Iceland W	1:0
07.03.14	Norway W - Iceland W	1:2
UEFA Euro Women
11.07.13	Norway W - Iceland W	1:1

Norway W - Iceland W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide