Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 24

Date: 6 October 2025, Monday


	Nosaby		Balkan

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.4	3.1
	1.95	3.6	3.3
	1.92	3.53	3.29
	1.78	3.78	3.68
	1.95	3.6	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.05)	3.58 ↑ (3.41)	3.33 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosaby
47.4%

Draw
25.4%

Balkan
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

26.4%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26.1%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosaby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Balkan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balkan than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Nosaby - Balkan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 2)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 1.

Nosaby is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Balkan is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Balkan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Balkan has had a series of home games.

Nosaby will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Nosaby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 2.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
26.09.25	Högaborgs - Nosaby	2:4 ✺
19.09.25	Nosaby - IFK Hässleholm	1:1 ✺
12.09.25	Räppe GoIF - Nosaby	2:2 ✺
06.09.25	Nosaby - Torn	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Kristianstad - Nosaby	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.8 WTTWT
- FBK Balkan
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
29.09.25	Balkan - Torn	1:1 ✺
22.09.25	Balkan - Kristianstad	0:3 ✺
12.09.25	Linero - Balkan	2:1 ✺
06.09.25	Balkan - Karlshamn	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Balkan - Karlskrona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
19.05.25	Balkan - Nosaby	2:2
09.09.24	Balkan - Nosaby	1:2
10.05.24	Nosaby - Balkan	1:2
06.10.23	Balkan - Nosaby	3:3
21.06.23	Nosaby - Balkan	2:4
12.08.22	Balkan - Nosaby	2:3
23.04.22	Nosaby - Balkan	2:1

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