Match Info

Division 2 - Södra Götaland - Round 10

Date: 30 May 2025, Friday


	Nosaby		Österlen

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.95
	3.1	3.65	2.08
	2.97	3.84	1.97
	3.09	3.95	1.96	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.12	3.56	2.01
	2.95	3.65	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.1)	3.65 ↓ (3.7)	2.02 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nosaby
29.8%

Draw
25%

Österlen
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

23.8%

47.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

23%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nosaby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Österlen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nosaby than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Österlen than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Nosaby - Österlen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
61', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,
90+7', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+9', 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 1.

Recent form of Nosaby has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Österlen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Österlen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Nosaby won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 6:14. (average 0.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Nosaby won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nosaby IF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
23.05.25	Linero - Nosaby	0:3 ✺
19.05.25	Balkan - Nosaby	2:2 ✺
11.05.25	Nosaby - Karlskrona	0:4 ✺
02.05.25	Nosaby - IFK Trelleborg	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Sölvesborg - Nosaby	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTLLL
- Österlen FF
Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
24.05.25	Österlen - Balkan	3:1 ✺
18.05.25	IFK Trelleborg - Österlen	1:3 ✺
10.05.25	Österlen - Växjö Norra	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Österlen - Torn	1:2 ✺
27.04.25	Karlshamn - Österlen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 2 - Södra Götaland
02.08.24	Nosaby - Österlen	0:3
29.03.24	Österlen - Nosaby	1:1
24.09.23	Nosaby - Österlen	1:2
02.06.23	Österlen - Nosaby	1:1
01.10.22	Nosaby - Österlen	2:1
19.06.22	Österlen - Nosaby	1:0
Swedish Division 2 - Östra Götaland
28.07.20	Österlen - Nosaby	1:0

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