Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 30

Date: 15 May 2024, Wednesday


	Noteć Czarnków		Starogard Gdański

	1	X	2
	1.37	4.75	5.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.4)	4.75 (4.75)	5.86 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Czarnków
65.7%

Draw
18.9%

Starogard Gdański
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

19%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

14.5%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Starogard Gdański has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-16.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Noteć Czarnków that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Starogard Gdański than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Starogard Gdański could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Starogard Gdański is Relegated to

Noteć Czarnków is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Starogard Gdański has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Noteć Czarnków is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Noteć Czarnków won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.05.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
03.05.24	Noteć Czarnków - Cartusia Kartuzy	4:0 ✺
27.04.24	Unia Swarzędz - Noteć Czarnków	3:2 ✺
20.04.24	Noteć Czarnków - Flota Świnoujście	2:3 ✺
12.04.24	Unia Solec Kujawski - Noteć Czarnków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWLLT
- KP Starogard Gdański
Polish Division 3 - Group II
11.05.24	Starogard Gdański - Gedania Gdańsk	1:3 ✺
04.05.24	Swit Skolwin - Starogard Gdański	3:1 ✺
27.04.24	Starogard Gdański - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	2:4 ✺
20.04.24	Vineta Wolin - Starogard Gdański	0:0 ✺
13.04.24	Starogard Gdański - Zawisza Bydgoszcz	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.10.23	Starogard Gdański - Noteć Czarnków	0:4

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