Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Idrettsparken Notodden (Notodden)


	Notodden		Arendal

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.50	3.30
	1.90	3.40	3.50
	1.92	3.53	3.83
	1.95	3.47	3.73	Watch
	1.89	3.30	3.75
	1.94	3.87	3.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (1.95)	3.51 ↑ (3.42)	3.59 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Notodden
48.1%

Draw
26.2%

Arendal
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

26.7%

26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

27.4%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notodden has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Arendal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notodden than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Notodden - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Solas S. O. (G) 16. Bertelsen N. 20. Bjerkan B. 7. Galta J. 8. Jorgensen S. 6. Larsen S. (C) 9. Leandersson E. 22. Nordbo T. 3. Osen H. H. 10. Pettersen A. 23. Ryste A.	1. Smedplass A. (G) 15. Curic A. 9. Dvergsdal T. 16. Helgesen E. 18. Nygaard S. 4. Osnes H. 14. Rodeblad Lowe K. 7. Skjold A. 17. Suggelia H. (C) 11. Victorio M. 21. Wenaas V.
Substitutes
5. Ahmed M. 12. Bergesen J. (G) 14. Foss-Erstad T. 2. Gunnerod J. 15. Rasberg S. 26. Tobiassen B. 27. Wenneberg M.	22. Abdalhalim M. 28. Altenborg M. 2. Gitau G. 29. Hurvenes M. 25. Nilsen A. E. 27. Nundal J. 13. Ostbo S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Victorio M. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Leandersson E. ⚽,
42', 2 - 1, Leandersson E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Osen H. H. ↓, Gunnerod J. ↑,
46', Jorgensen S. ↓, Wenneberg M. ↑,
50', 3 - 1, Leandersson E. ⚽,
56', 4 - 1, Nordbo T. ⚽,
57', Dvergsdal T. ↓, Nundal J. ↑,
57', Victorio M. ↓, Altenborg M. ↑,
57', Skjold A. ↓, Gitau G. ↑,
57', Wenaas V. ↓, Abdalhalim M. ↑,
61', Curic A. 🟨,
72', Curic A. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
73', Galta J. ↓, Ahmed M. ↑,
78', Bjerkan B. ↓, Tobiassen B. ↑,
83', Leandersson E. ↓, Rasberg S. ↑,

Preview

A balanced mid-table encounter with both sides eager to climb into upper positions (ranked 6th and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notodden won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Notodden is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Notodden has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:23 (averaging 1.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Notodden against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 7:6 goals (averaging 0.9:0.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Notodden	22	10	5	7	31:20	11	35
10	Arendal	22	7	5	10	30:38	-8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Notodden
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Notodden - Odd	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.26	Træff - Notodden	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Notodden - Lysekloster	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	Kvik Halden - Notodden	0:0 ✺
15.08.26	Notodden - Brattvåg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LTWTL
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
16.09.26	Arendal - Sandnes Ulf	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.09.26	Arendal - Kvik Halden	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Bjarg - Arendal	4:0 ✺
30.08.26	Arendal - Lysekloster	2:1 ✺
15.08.26	Vidar - Arendal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
18.04.26	Arendal - Notodden	2:2
17.08.25	Arendal - Notodden	4:1
21.04.25	Notodden - Arendal	1:1
13.07.24	Notodden - Arendal	0:1
01.06.24	Arendal - Notodden	1:2
22.10.23	Notodden - Arendal	3:0
11.06.23	Arendal - Notodden	0:3

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