Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 5

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday


	Nova Cidade		Petrópolis

	1	X	2
	3.3	2.87	2.1
	3.85	2.92	1.95
	3.97	2.86	1.99
	4.00	2.75	2.12	Watch
	3.86	2.95	2
	3.4	2.92	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (2.55)	2.88 ↓ (3.1)	2.04 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Cidade
24.2%

Draw
31.4%

Petrópolis
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

29.3%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Cidade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Cidade's form might have worsened.

Petrópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petrópolis's recent form is better than expected.

Nova Cidade - Petrópolis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 6).

In recent matches, Petrópolis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Nova Cidade may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nova Cidade won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Including home match between the teams, Nova Cidade won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Carioca B1
20.09.25	Nova Cidade - São Cristóvão	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Nova Cidade - Niteroiense	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Paduano - Nova Cidade	5:2 ✺
12.11.24	Nova Cidade - Friburguense	1:1 ✺
06.11.24	São Cristóvão - Nova Cidade	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TTLTL
- Petrópolis FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
27.09.25	Petrópolis - Niteroiense	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Paduano - Petrópolis	0:1 ✺
13.09.25	Petrópolis - Friburguense	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Maricá - Petrópolis	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.10.20	Nova Cidade - Petrópolis	1:2

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