Match Info

Date: 4 November 2020, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Nova Cidade		Sampaio Corrêa FE

	1	X	2
	11	5	1.25
	7	5.25	1.28
	8	4.6	1.25
	8	4.5	1.28
	10.37	5.12	1.2
	12.5	6.1	1.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.48 ↑ (5.35)	5.1 ↑ (3.6)	1.24 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Cidade
9.5%

Draw
17.7%

Sampaio Corrêa FE
72.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

16.8%

25%

58.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.6%

18.8%

68.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Cidade has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Cidade's form might have worsened.

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sampaio Corrêa FE's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Cidade than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

Nova Cidade - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion to Campeonato Carioca B1 (Second stage to Play Offs) and 5).

Nova Cidade is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Sampaio Corrêa FE is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sampaio Corrêa FE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sampaio Corrêa FE is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Nova Cidade
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
01.11.20	Campos - Nova Cidade	0:1 ✺
18.10.20	Serrano FC - Nova Cidade	3:1 ✺
14.10.20	Nova Cidade - Petrópolis	1:2 ✺
10.10.20	Maricá - Nova Cidade	1:1 ✺
07.10.20	Nova Cidade - Rio São Paulo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WLLTL
- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
31.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Serrano FC	2:2 ✺
28.10.20	Petrópolis - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:1 ✺
24.10.20	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	0:3 ✺
21.10.20	Duque de Caxias - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
17.10.20	Goytacaz - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TTLWW

Nova Cidade - Sampaio Corrêa FE

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Nova Cidade - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions

Preview

Form

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