The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa FE 38.4%
Draw 31.8%
Nova Iguaçu 29.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.3%
29.8%
27.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.4%
31.3%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Nova Iguaçu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sampaio Corrêa FE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Leo Muchacho ⚽,
45+9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Xandinho 🟥,
90+2', 🟥,
90+9', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
First leg result: 0-2.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
Sampaio Corrêa might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 12:26. (average 0.9:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sampaio Corrêa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
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