Match Info
Copa Rio - Semi-finalsDate: 26 August 2026, Wednesday
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Nova Iguaçu |
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Sampaio Corrêa FE |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.40 |
2.80 |
2.80 |
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 |
2.45 |
2.75 |
2.85 |
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 |
2.6 |
2.68 |
2.83 |
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 |
2.6 |
2.75 |
2.9 |
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 |
2.55 |
2.65 |
2.8 |
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 |
2.57 |
2.72 |
2.81 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.2) |
2.73 ↓
(2.88) |
2.83 ↓
(3.31) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Nova Iguaçu
35.5% | Draw
32.9% | Sampaio Corrêa FE
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nova Iguaçu's form might have worsened.Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sampaio Corrêa FE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - under (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', 1 - 0, Bill ⚽,
- 80', 2 - 0, Leo Muchacho ⚽,
Preview
First leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 3.Nova Iguaçu has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Sampaio Corrêa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). Nova Iguaçu could have a small edge in this match.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Nova Iguaçu won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 24:12. (average 1.8:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Nova Iguaçu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Nova Iguaçu - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.14%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Brazilian Serie D | | | 16.05.26 | Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 2:1 | | 25.04.26 | Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu | 1:0 | | Brazilian Campeonato Carioca | | | 08.03.26 | Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 2:0 | | 23.02.26 | Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu | 1:1 | | 15.01.26 | Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu | 1:3 | | 15.01.25 | Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 1:0 | | 18.01.24 | Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE | 2:1 |
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