Match Info

Copa Rio - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 August 2026, Wednesday


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		São Gonçalo

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.50	5.50
	1.65	3.2	5.15
	1.63	2.87	4.76
	1.71	3.15	5.25
	1.59	2.8	4.65
	1.66	3.08	5.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.67)	3.1 ↓ (3.5)	5.17 ↑ (4.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
54.3%

Draw
28.5%

São Gonçalo
17.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

26.2%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57%

27.2%

18.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

São Gonçalo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Sampaio Corrêa FE - São Gonçalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

First leg result: 0-0.

Recent performances by Sampaio Corrêa have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

São Gonçalo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Sampaio Corrêa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Copa Rio
05.08.26	São Gonçalo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:0 ✺
22.07.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Resende	2:0 ✺
15.07.26	Resende - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.26	Portuguesa - Sampaio Corrêa FE	1:0 ✺
20.06.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLT
- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Copa Rio
05.08.26	São Gonçalo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:0 ✺
20.07.26	Volta Redonda - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
16.07.26	São Gonçalo - Volta Redonda	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
04.07.26	São Gonçalo - Audax Rio	2:1 ✺
27.06.26	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.5 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Rio
05.08.26	São Gonçalo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:0
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
14.10.20	São Gonçalo - Sampaio Corrêa FE	0:2

Sampaio Corrêa FE - São Gonçalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide