Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE D - ROUND 8

Date: 14 June 2023, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Nova Iguaçu		Vitória ES

	1	X	2
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.45	3	2.65
	2.7	2.99	2.5
	2.62	2.88	2.5
	2.68	3.13	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.51)	3 ↑ (2.7)	2.52 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Iguaçu
34.3%

Draw
30%

Vitória ES
35.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

36.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Iguaçu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Vitória ES has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nova Iguaçu than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nova Iguaçu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vitória ES than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vitória ES, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Vitória ES will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vitória ES: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 and 5).

Nova Iguaçu is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vitória ES is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nova Iguaçu will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nova Iguaçu won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Iguaçu
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Vitória ES - Nova Iguaçu	3:2 ✺
07.06.23	Nova Iguaçu - Democrata GV	0:0 ✺
03.06.23	Resende - Nova Iguaçu	3:1 ✺
27.05.23	Nova Iguaçu - Portuguesa RJ	1:1 ✺
20.05.23	Nova Iguaçu - Santo André	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LTLTL
- Vitória ES
Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Vitória ES - Nova Iguaçu	3:2 ✺
07.06.23	Portuguesa RJ - Vitória ES	3:2 ✺
03.06.23	Vitória ES - Athletic Club	1:2 ✺
27.05.23	Vitória ES - Democrata GV	3:1 ✺
20.05.23	Noroeste - Vitória ES	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.06.23	Vitória ES - Nova Iguaçu	3:2

Nova Iguaçu - Vitória ES