Match Info

Date: 15 August 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Nova Mutum		Gama

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.8	4.33
	1.62	3.9	4.3
	1.6	3.45	5.2
	1.54	4.05	4.69
	1.62	3.4	4.6
	1.59	3.54	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.32)	3.69 ↑ (2.52)	4.8 ↑ (3.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nova Mutum
56.7%

Draw
24.5%

Gama
18.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.4%

36.2%

24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

26.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nova Mutum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nova Mutum's performance.

Gama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nova Mutum than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gama than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.1%	10.3%	65.5%

Nova Mutum - Gama Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Nova Mutum will win (votes: 7 - 24.1%). Gama will win (votes: 19 - 65.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gama: 48.2% – 82.8%.

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Preview

Recent matches Nova Mutum is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Gama is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nova Mutum could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Nova Mutum will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nova Mutum won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nova Mutum EC
Brazilian Serie D
07.08.21	União Rondonópolis - Nova Mutum	0:1 ✺
01.08.21	Nova Mutum - Goianésia	2:0 ✺
24.07.21	Porto Velho - Nova Mutum	1:1 ✺
18.07.21	Nova Mutum - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
10.07.21	Goianésia - Nova Mutum	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWTTL
- SE do Gama
Brazilian Serie D
07.08.21	Gama - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
31.07.21	Gama - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
24.07.21	Goianésia - Gama	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Gama - Goianésia	0:0 ✺
10.07.21	Porto Velho - Gama	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.06.21	Gama - Nova Mutum	0:3

Nova Mutum - Gama