Match Info

Date: 2 December 2021, Thursday


	Novi Pazar		Bačka

	1	X	2
	1.63	3	5.5
	1.55	4	4.75
	1.63	3.6	4.6
	1.55	3.45	5.62
	1.61	3.5	4.8
	1.63	3.72	5.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	3.55 ↓ (3.9)	5.05 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novi Pazar
56.6%

Draw
25.5%

Bačka
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

23.7%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

14.4%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novi Pazar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Bačka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bačka than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bačka could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Novi Pazar - Bačka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Bačka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Novi Pazar have a series of home games.

In this match Novi Pazar is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Novi Pazar won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Novi Pazar won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Superliga
29.11.21	Novi Pazar - Proleter Novi Sad	2:0 ✺
22.11.21	Čukarički - Novi Pazar	1:1 ✺
18.11.21	Novi Pazar - Čukarički	2:2 ✺
05.11.21	Novi Pazar - Bačka Topola	1:1 ✺
01.11.21	Novi Pazar - Radnik Surdulica	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WTTTT
- Bačka Bačka Palanka
Serbian Prva Liga
27.11.21	Kabel Novi Sad - Bačka	1:1 ✺
22.11.21	Bačka - Železničar Pančevo	2:2 ✺
14.11.21	Budućnost Dobanovci - Bačka	0:1 ✺
10.11.21	Bačka - Mladost Novi Sad	0:0 ✺
05.11.21	IMT Novi Beograd - Bačka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
04.05.21	Bačka - Novi Pazar	0:1
29.11.20	Novi Pazar - Bačka	0:0
Serbian Prva Liga
06.06.20	Bačka - Novi Pazar	4:0
09.10.19	Novi Pazar - Bačka	0:1
Serbian Superliga
18.04.17	Bačka - Novi Pazar	4:0
09.04.17	Bačka - Novi Pazar	1:0
30.10.16	Novi Pazar - Bačka	1:1

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