Match Info

Date: 25 October 2020, Sunday


	Novi Pazar		Rad

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	2	3.25	3.4
	1.94	3.2	3.25
	1.94	3.4	3.4
	2.01	3.71	3.45
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.98	3.5	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.01)	3.41 ↑ (3.3)	3.41 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novi Pazar
46.5%

Draw
26.8%

Rad
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

27.7%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6%

18.7%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novi Pazar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Rad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novi Pazar than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Novi Pazar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rad than the current prediction. (+13.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Novi Pazar - Rad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Novi Pazar will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Novi Pazar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Novi Pazar won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Novi Pazar
Serbian Cup
21.10.20	Novi Pazar - Čukarički	1:3 ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.10.20	Bačka Topola - Novi Pazar	7:0 ✺
03.10.20	Novi Pazar - Vojvodina	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	Proleter Novi Sad - Novi Pazar	1:0 ✺
20.09.20	Novi Pazar - Inđija	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLWLW
- Rad Belgrade
Serbian Cup
21.10.20	Rad - Kolubara	1:0 penalties ✺
Serbian Superliga
16.10.20	Vojvodina - Rad	4:1 ✺
04.10.20	Rad - Inđija	2:1 ✺
26.09.20	Radnik Surdulica - Rad	4:2 ✺
20.09.20	Rad - Javor Ivanjica	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian Superliga
22.04.17	Novi Pazar - Rad	3:0
10.12.16	Rad - Novi Pazar	2:0
14.08.16	Novi Pazar - Rad	0:2
28.04.16	Novi Pazar - Rad	1:0
20.02.16	Rad - Novi Pazar	1:0
29.08.15	Novi Pazar - Rad	1:0
21.02.15	Rad - Novi Pazar	1:0

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