Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 2

Date: 19 June 2024, Wednesday


	Novo Hamburgo		Concórdia

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.1
	2.25	3	3.1
	2.21	2.86	3.3
	2.21	2.86	3.3
	2.5	2.75	2.88
	2.15	3.08	3.26
	2.25	3	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↓ (2.45)	2.91 ↑ (2.9)	3.15 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Novo Hamburgo
40.2%

Draw
31.1%

Concórdia
28.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

31.2%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

31.7%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Novo Hamburgo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Concórdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Novo Hamburgo than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Concórdia than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
86', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hamburgo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Hamburgo won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hamburgo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Novo Hamburgo
Brazilian Serie D
16.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - FC Cascavel	0:0 ✺
12.06.24	Hercílio Luz - Novo Hamburgo	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Novo Hamburgo - Hercílio Luz	1:1 ✺
02.06.24	FC Cascavel - Novo Hamburgo	0:0 ✺
28.04.24	Barra Santa Catarina - Novo Hamburgo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 TWTTT
- Concórdia AC
Brazilian Serie D
16.06.24	Concórdia - Cianorte	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Avenida - Concórdia	1:0 ✺
08.06.24	Concórdia - Avenida	1:2 ✺
01.06.24	Cianorte - Concórdia	1:1 ✺
26.05.24	Concórdia - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.06.23	Concórdia - Novo Hamburgo	1:1
07.06.23	Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia	1:2

Novo Hamburgo - Concórdia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide