Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Numancia		Formentera

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.4	5
	1.62	3.4	5
	1.61	3.55	4.8
	1.62	3.53	6.12
	1.57	3.76	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.64)	3.53 ↑ (3.42)	5.3 ↑ (4.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
56.9%

Draw
25.9%

Formentera
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

26.5%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4%

16.5%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Formentera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-22.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Formentera than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Formentera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Numancia - Formentera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Numancia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.10.21	Brea - Numancia	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Numancia - Huesca B	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Numancia - Mérida AD	0:1 ET ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.10.21	Ejea - Numancia	0:0 ✺
26.09.21	Numancia - Peña Deportiva	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLTW
- SD Formentera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
17.10.21	Formentera - Ebro	1:0 ✺
10.10.21	Brea - Formentera	1:3 ✺
03.10.21	Formentera - Teruel	0:1 ✺
26.09.21	Huesca B - Formentera	0:0 ✺
19.09.21	Formentera - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLTT

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