Match Info

Date: 25 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria)


	Numancia		La Nucía

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.3
	2.05	3	3.3
	2	3	3.6
	2.02	3.1	3.4
	2	3.09	4.14
	1.97	3.06	3.86
	2	3.15	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (2)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	3.59 ↑ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
45.3%

Draw
29.4%

La Nucía
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.7%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

27.5%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Numancia - La Nucía Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Numancia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Numancia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Numancia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches La Nucía is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Numancia will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.22	Real Murcia - Numancia	0:0 ✺
11.09.22	Numancia - Alcoyano	0:1 ✺
03.09.22	Eldense - Numancia	0:0 ✺
28.08.22	Numancia - Intercity	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.22	Numancia - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLTLT
- CF La Nucía
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
17.09.22	La Nucía - Osasuna B	0:0 ✺
11.09.22	SD Logroñés - La Nucía	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	La Nucía - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
28.08.22	Athletic Bilbao B - La Nucía	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
19.08.22	La Nucía - Racing Cartagena MM	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TLTWL

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