Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 18

Date: 2 April 2026, Thursday


	Numancia B		Colegios Diocesanos

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.2	3.4
	2.21	2.93	3.66
	2.23	3.13	3.19	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.5
	2.16	2.79	3.57
	2.25	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.3)	2.98 ↑ (2.92)	3.39 ↑ (3.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia B
42.4%

Draw
30.6%

Colegios Diocesanos
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

30.9%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

28.9%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Colegios Diocesanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colegios Diocesanos than the current prediction. (+5%)

Numancia B - Colegios Diocesanos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, ⚽,
34', 1 - 1, ⚽,
42', 🟥,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
54', 3 - 1, ⚽,
77', 4 - 1, ⚽,
84', 5 - 1, ⚽,
90', 6 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Recent performances by Numancia B have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colegios Diocesanos's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 2:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Colegios Diocesanos	5	0	1	4	1:10	-9	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
29.03.26	Becerril - Numancia B	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Numancia B - Arandina	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	Bembibre - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Numancia B - Santa Marta Tormes	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	La Virgen del Camino - Numancia B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TLLLW
- CD Colegios Diocesanos
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.03.26	Mojados - Colegios Diocesanos	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Almazán	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Atlético Palencia - Colegios Diocesanos	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Becerril	1:5 ✺
28.02.26	Arandina - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
22.01.22	Colegios Diocesanos - Numancia B	2:2
17.02.21	Numancia B - Colegios Diocesanos	2:1

Numancia B - Colegios Diocesanos: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide