Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Numancia B		Arandina

	1	X	2
	2.32	3	2.88
	2.33	3.03	3.07
	2.87	3.09	2.44	Watch
	2.29	2.98	3.04
	2.5	3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.51)	3.02 ↑ (3)	2.83 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Numancia B
37.2%

Draw
30.3%

Arandina
32.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

30.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.6%

29.6%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia B than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Numancia B - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:11. (average 0.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Numancia B won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Arandina	5	2	2	1	7:6	1	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Numancia B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.03.26	Bembibre - Numancia B	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Numancia B - Santa Marta Tormes	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	La Virgen del Camino - Numancia B	0:2 ✺
22.02.26	Numancia B - Atlético Mansillés	0:1 ✺
15.02.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Numancia B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 LLWLL
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
14.03.26	Arandina - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Villaralbo - Arandina	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Arandina - Colegios Diocesanos	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Unionistas B - Arandina	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Arandina - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.03.23	Arandina - Numancia B	0:0
27.11.22	Numancia B - Arandina	0:3
15.04.22	Numancia B - Arandina	3:1
05.12.21	Arandina - Numancia B	5:0
16.03.19	Arandina - Numancia B	2:0

Numancia B - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide