Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykøbing Falster)

Referee: Voergaard A. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nykøbing		Vendsyssel

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.4	3.6	1.95
	3.25	3.7	2
	3.55	3.65	1.88
	3.55	3.96	2
				Watch
	3.42	3.74	1.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (2.5)	3.73 ↑ (3.3)	1.95 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
26.9%

Draw
25.1%

Vendsyssel
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

28.2%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

30.2%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nykøbing's form might have worsened.

Vendsyssel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vendsyssel's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nykøbing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vendsyssel than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vendsyssel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.8%	16.7%	62.5%

Nykøbing - Vendsyssel Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Nykøbing will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Vendsyssel will win (votes: 15 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vendsyssel: 43.1% – 81.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 0 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
07.08.22	Vejle Boldklub Kolding - Nykøbing	2:0 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
02.08.22	Hellerup - Nykøbing	0:1 ✺
Danish 1 Division
30.07.22	Nykøbing - Hvidovre	0:2 ✺
23.07.22	Nykøbing - Fredericia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.22	Nykøbing - B.93 Copenhagen	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLTT
- Vendsyssel FF
Danish 1 Division
06.08.22	Vendsyssel - Fremad Amager	1:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
03.08.22	VSK Aarhus - Vendsyssel	1:3 ✺
Danish 1 Division
31.07.22	HB Køge - Vendsyssel	1:2 ✺
22.07.22	Vendsyssel - Hillerød	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.22	Fredericia - Vendsyssel	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
04.12.21	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	1:1
08.08.21	Vendsyssel - Nykøbing	1:1
19.07.20	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	0:2
03.11.19	Vendsyssel - Nykøbing	0:0
22.09.19	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	0:3
16.05.18	Vendsyssel - Nykøbing	1:1
11.04.18	Nykøbing - Vendsyssel	1:1

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