Match Info

DENMARK: 1ST DIVISION - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 32

Date: 2 June 2023, Friday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykøbing Falster)

Referee: Lykke M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Nykøbing		Fredericia

	1	X	2
	6	5.75	1.44	Watch
	5.25	5	1.42
	5.2	5.3	1.44
	5.57	5.81	1.43
	5.25	4.2	1.47	Watch
	5.75	5.45	1.43	Watch
	5	5.2	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.43 ↑ (4.31)	5.24 ↑ (4.17)	1.43 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
17.2%

Draw
17.8%

Fredericia
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.4%

22.1%

56.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

21.8%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Fredericia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fredericia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredericia than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fredericia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.4%	14.3%	64.3%

Nykøbing - Fredericia Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Nykøbing will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Fredericia will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredericia: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rasmussen J. (G) 3. Jensen K. 2. Gartig E. 14. Nielsen B. 13. Pleidrup L. 4. Hoholt T. 24. Jakobsen O. 10. Gehrt M. 11. Simonsen E. 20. Nnamani E. 21. Kjerrumgaard L.	1. Birkso V. (G) 3. Brinch J. 8. Wohlgemuth M. 6. Gertsen J. 18. Juelsgaard J. 20. Baekgard S. 12. Olsen O. 19. Lausen A. 10. Rojkjaer N. 14. Christensen F. 11. Jakobsen A.
Substitutes
28. Baltzer O. 26. Bank M. (G) 12. Delvin W. 27. El-Sayed J. 18. Gartig O. 29. Larsen N. 23. Lauridsen B. 17. Madsen S.	44. Brock-Madsen N. 17. Holvad A. 33. John S. (G) 7. Kristensen M. 4. Nissen E. 2. Ritter N.
Coaches
Jensen C.	Hansen M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 1.

Nykøbing is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredericia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Fredericia is a favorite.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 23-42.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-22.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 1 Division
26.05.23	Fremad Amager - Nykøbing	4:3 ✺
19.05.23	Nykøbing - Hobro	1:2 ✺
12.05.23	Nykøbing - Hillerød	5:2 ✺
06.05.23	HB Køge - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
28.04.23	Hobro - Nykøbing	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 LLWLL
- FC Fredericia
Danish 1 Division
26.05.23	Fredericia - Hillerød	4:0 ✺
21.05.23	Fredericia - Fremad Amager	0:0 ✺
13.05.23	HB Køge - Fredericia	2:2 ✺
05.05.23	Fredericia - Hobro	2:2 ✺
29.04.23	Hillerød - Fredericia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
31.03.23	Fredericia - Nykøbing	2:0
07.10.22	Fredericia - Nykøbing	0:1
23.07.22	Nykøbing - Fredericia	2:2
13.05.22	Fredericia - Nykøbing	5:1
30.04.22	Nykøbing - Fredericia	2:3
21.11.21	Fredericia - Nykøbing	3:2
01.08.21	Nykøbing - Fredericia	4:4

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