The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nyköping 65.1%
Draw 19.4%
Karlslund 15.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
66%
19.2%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.4%
19.6%
14.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nyköping has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Karlslund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyköping than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Nyköping - Karlslund Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 0 - 1, (Own goal),
45+1', 1 - 1, Hamo S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
53', 2 - 1, Ghozzi E. ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Holm M. ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, Hamo S. ⚽,
Preview
An intriguing matchup between an upper-bracket team and a mid-table rival (ranked 4th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nyköping won 5.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Nyköping could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, Nyköping enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 11 head-to-head meetings, Nyköping has recorded 7 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 20:8 (averaging 1.8:0.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nyköping against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 11:6 goals (averaging 2.2:1.2 per game).