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Current Win Probability
Nacka FC 51.1%
Draw 23.9%
Karlslund 25%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.1%
21.4%
18.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.5%
21.2%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacka FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nacka FC's form might have worsened.
Karlslund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Karlslund's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacka FC than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nacka FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlslund than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlslund, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nacka FC - Karlslund Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 4)
18', 1 - 0, Salmon J. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Bemacce N. ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, Hussein O. D. ⚽,
38', 1 - 3, Berisson A. ⚽,
44', 1 - 4, Hodzic E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 12th in the Division 2 - Su00f6dra Svealand (Relegation) and 9th).
Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.
Karlslund may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Nacka carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Nacka has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:2 (averaging 1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Nacka against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.
Watch
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