Match Info

DENMARK: 2nd Division - Promotion Group - Round 26

Date: 3 May 2024, Friday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykobing Falster)


	Nykøbing		Esbjerg

	1	X	2
	8	5.5	1.25
	10	5.55	1.25
	11.27	7	1.19
	9.45	5.79	1.23
	8.8	5.4	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.5 ↑ (7.95)	5.85 ↑ (5.36)	1.23 ↓ (1.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
9.7%

Draw
15.7%

Esbjerg
74.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.6%

17.2%

71.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

16.8%

72.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Nykøbing - Esbjerg Predictions

Users Predictions: Esbjerg will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Delvin W. ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, Lausen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
89', 2 - 1, Angus O. (Pen),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 2.

Nykøbing is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Esbjerg is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nykøbing could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Esbjerg is indisputable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
26.04.24	Nykøbing - AB Copenhagen	0:1 ✺
20.04.24	Aarhus Fremad - Nykøbing	5:0 ✺
12.04.24	Nykøbing - Roskilde	0:5 ✺
06.04.24	Aarhus Fremad - Nykøbing	5:0 ✺
01.04.24	Nykøbing - FA 2000	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Esbjerg fB
Danish 2 Division
26.04.24	Esbjerg - Aarhus Fremad	0:1 ✺
18.04.24	Esbjerg - Middelfart	5:2 ✺
14.04.24	AB Copenhagen - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
06.04.24	Esbjerg - Skive IK	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Brabrand - Esbjerg	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
28.10.23	Nykøbing - Esbjerg	0:3
10.09.23	Esbjerg - Nykøbing	3:4
Danish 1 Division
28.11.21	Esbjerg - Nykøbing	3:0
27.08.21	Nykøbing - Esbjerg	1:1
Danish Landspokal Cup
11.11.20	Nykøbing - Esbjerg	1:0
Danish 1 Division
02.04.18	Esbjerg - Nykøbing	5:2
29.10.17	Nykøbing - Esbjerg	0:0

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