Match Info

1st Division - Round 16

Date: 10 November 2025, Monday

Location: Blue Water Arena (Esbjerg)

Referee: Rasmussen J. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay


	Esbjerg		Middelfart

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.33	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.15	4.95
	1.62	4.22	5.05
	1.65	4.17	4.21	Watch
	1.54	4.22	5.39	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.73)	4.15 ↑ (3.8)	4.73 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Esbjerg
57.8%

Draw
22.5%

Middelfart
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

24.1%

22.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23.3%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Esbjerg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Middelfart has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.4%	3.7%	1.9%

Esbjerg - Middelfart Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Esbjerg (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Esbjerg (2.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Esbjerg (1.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Esbjerg will win (51 of 54 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.33% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Esbjerg will win (25 of 25 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 28 Selected Experts predict this event. Esbjerg (votes: 28 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. McCrorie R. (G) 4. Tjornelund P. 15. Stagaard T. 5. Troelsen A. 19. Strand S. 6. Vigen L. (C) 18. Hansen M. 8. Maden M. 12. Lausen A. 10. Gyamfi R. 80. Brajanac M.	1. Radza C. (G) 7. Linnet J. (C) 3. Kristensen M. 17. Greve M. 4. Vetter J. 25. Pedersen S. 18. Wielzen J. 26. Juul-Sandberg N. 11. Villemoes J. 27. Hansen M. 10. Akale A.
Substitutes
9. Ankersen J. 27. Baldursson B. 32. Blicher N. 2. Buus J. 14. Kolawole J. 16. Kristensen K. (G) 40. Larsen E. 3. Skipper A. 39. Strandby N.	21. Andersen E. 14. Barholt N. 9. Boesen M. 22. Boyum Johansen C. 16. Gaub-Jakobsen A. (G) 77. Jensen L. 6. Kakeeto R. 23. Kwasniak V. 15. Nielsen M.
Coaches
Manoharan S.	Engstrom K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Akale A. ⚽, Hansen M. (A),
15', 1 - 1, Tjornelund P. ⚽, Lausen A. (A),
31', 2 - 1, Brajanac M. ⚽, Gyamfi R. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', Gyamfi R. ↓, Buus J. ↑,
60', Greve M. 🟨,
61', 3 - 1, Brajanac M. (Pen),
62', Hansen M. ↓, Kakeeto R. ↑,
62', Wielzen J. ↓, Jensen L. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Jensen L. ⚽, Pedersen S. (A),
66', Hansen M. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
66', Vigen L. ↓, Kolawole J. ↑,
67', 4 - 2, Brajanac M. (Pen),
72', Linnet J. 🟨,
75', Pedersen S. ↓, Boesen M. ↑,
81', Lausen A. ↓, Baldursson B. ↑,
82', Tjornelund P. ↓, Skipper A. ↑,
88', Villemoes J. ↓, Andersen E. ↑,
88', Akale A. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 5.

Esbjerg is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Middelfart has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Esbjerg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Esbjerg is the team to beat.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 3:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Esbjerg fB
Danish 1 Division
02.11.25	Esbjerg - B.93 Copenhagen	3:2 ✺
Danish Landspokal Cup
29.10.25	Esbjerg - Randers FC	1:0 penalties ✺
Danish 1 Division
25.10.25	Aarhus Fremad - Esbjerg	0:1 ✺
16.10.25	Esbjerg - Hobro	1:1 ✺
04.10.25	Kolding IF - Esbjerg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 WWWTL
- Middelfart G&BK
Danish 1 Division
01.11.25	Middelfart - Aalborg BK	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Kolding IF - Middelfart	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Middelfart - Horsens	0:3 ✺
04.10.25	Middelfart - Hillerød	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	B.93 Copenhagen - Middelfart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 1 Division
02.08.25	Middelfart - Esbjerg	0:1
Club Friendly
25.01.25	Esbjerg - Middelfart	3:0
Danish 2 Division
24.05.24	Middelfart - Esbjerg	0:2
18.04.24	Esbjerg - Middelfart	5:2
12.11.23	Esbjerg - Middelfart	1:0
18.08.23	Middelfart - Esbjerg	1:2
Club Friendly
25.02.23	Middelfart - Esbjerg	3:1

Upcoming Matches