The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Nykøbing 47.9%
Draw 23.9%
Middelfart 28.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
21.4%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.7%
19.9%
25.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nykøbing has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Middelfart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nykøbing, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middelfart than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Nykøbing - Middelfart Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Jorgensen J. (G) 4. Brems M. 10. Jakobsen O. 15. Konradsen M. 5. Ullum P. 17. Rrahmani A. 8. O'Driscoll R. 16. Ogude E. 27. Balslov O. 3. Jensen K. (C) 22. Rasmussen M.
1. Jakobsen T. H. (G) 10. Akale A. 19. Bang M. 21. Hemmingsen H. 11. Villemoes J. 22. Boyum Johansen C. 12. Thomsen L. 77. Vogtmann A. 39. Wehmeyer L. 28. Hegelund V. 25. Bossen N.
Substitutes
28. Bottker M. 9. Dahl M. 23. Gartig O. 11. Kold B. 7. Nyman Engelmand L. 19. Sekula N. 26. Skov V. (G) 12. Svendsen O.
16. Banck-Skodt N. (G) 14. Barholt N. 71. Bunkenborg M. 6. Kakeeto R. 20. Koch R. 7. Moller F. 8. Praest M. 18. Wielzen J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 3)
13', 0 - 1, Villemoes J. ⚽, Bang M. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Rrahmani A. ⚽,
32', Balslov O. 🟨,
36', 1 - 2, Wehmeyer L. ⚽, Bossen N. (A),
37', 1 - 3, Akale A. ⚽,
39', Jakobsen O. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Konradsen M. ↓, Svendsen O. ↑,
47', Hemmingsen H. 🟨,
62', Rrahmani A. ↓, Dahl M. ↑,
62', Rasmussen M. ↓, Kold B. ↑,
62', Balslov O. ↓, Nyman Engelmand L. ↑,
63', 1 - 4, Akale A. (Penalty Awarded),
64', Bossen N. ↓, Praest M. ↑,
64', Bang M. ↓, Wielzen J. ↑,
64', Hemmingsen H. ↓, Koch R. ↑,
67', Brems M. ↓, Sekula N. ↑,
70', Koch R. 🟨,
71', 2 - 4, Kold B. ⚽, Sekula N. (A),
73', 3 - 4, Svendsen O. ⚽, Nyman Engelmand L. (A),
75', Villemoes J. ↓, Kakeeto R. ↑,
79', Wehmeyer L. ↓, Moller F. ↑,
85', 4 - 4, Ullum P. ⚽, Jensen K. (A),
Extra Time (1 - 1)
91', O'Driscoll R. ↓, Gartig O. ↑,
91', Vogtmann A. ↓, Barholt N. ↑,
94', 5 - 4, Ogude E. ⚽, Svendsen O. (A),
96', Svendsen O. 🟨,
114', 5 - 5, Akale A. ⚽, Wielzen J. (A),
Penalties (4 - 2)
1, Gartig O. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Akale A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nyman Engelmand L. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Praest M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Dahl M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Koch R. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Kold B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Boyum Johansen C. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Svendsen O. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nykøbing won 2.
Nykøbing has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Middelfart has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Middelfart may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Nykøbing will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Nykøbing won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:13. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Nykøbing won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 2.3:1.3).
Last Results with these Odds
Middelfart - the odds 3.32 are the expected chance of winning is 27.73%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.