Match Info

2nd Division

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Lollands Bank Park (Nykobing Falster)


	Nykøbing		Skive IK

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.4	1.9
	4.1	3.5	1.71	Watch
	3.88	3.66	1.87	Watch
	3.94	3.78	1.82	Watch
	4.1	3.5	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 ↓ (4.23)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	1.8 ↑ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nykøbing
23.7%

Draw
25.6%

Skive IK
50.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

25.9%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

25.3%

53.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nykøbing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Skive IK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nykøbing than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skive IK than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Nykøbing - Skive IK Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Rasmussen J. (G) 2. Angus O. 21. Basse M. 9. Dahl M. 24. Hansen M. 3. Jensen K. 4. Molgaard V. 16. Ogude E. 12. Svendsen O. 5. Ullum P. 10. Wass E.	1. Christensen N. (G) 8. Callo G. 5. Christiansen M. 3. Juel S. 10. Kudsk C. 20. Nsoni Z. 15. Nymann E. 14. Sloth F. 19. Vesterholm M. 22. Wagner L. 2. Warrer F.
Substitutes
23. Gartig O. 32. Jensen L. 11. Kold B. 20. Lohse W. 17. Madsen S. 7. Nyman L. 26. Skov V. (G)	17. Amby O. 12. Breiner R. 4. Hjorth V. 30. Kostow A. (G) 6. Nedergaard M. 47. Truong Q. M. 9. Yao D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 🟨,
10', 0 - 1, Wagner L. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,
63', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone 2nd Division (Relegation Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: )).

Nykøbing is 2nd Division (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 2.

Nykøbing is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Skive is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Skive could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Skive will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Nykøbing won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:26 (average 2.6:2.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Nykøbing won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:10 (average 3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nykøbing FC
Danish 2 Division
04.04.25	AB Copenhagen - Nykøbing	3:0 ✺
28.03.25	Nykøbing - Næstved BK	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Nykøbing - Middelfart	1:3 ✺
15.03.25	Ishøj IF - Nykøbing	2:1 ✺
07.03.25	Nykøbing - Hellerup	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLLLW
- Skive IK
Danish 2 Division
04.04.25	Skive IK - Middelfart	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Ishøj IF - Skive IK	0:1 ✺
22.03.25	Skive IK - Aarhus Fremad	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Fremad Amager - Skive IK	2:0 ✺
07.03.25	Skive IK - Helsingør	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Danish 2 Division
15.09.24	Skive IK - Nykøbing	4:0
16.03.24	Nykøbing - Skive IK	2:3
07.10.23	Skive IK - Nykøbing	0:2
Danish 1 Division
12.06.20	Skive IK - Nykøbing	3:2
01.03.20	Nykøbing - Skive IK	4:2
28.09.19	Skive IK - Nykøbing	3:3
20.05.18	Nykøbing - Skive IK	4:0

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