Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 13

Date: 29 October 2023, Sunday


	Nyíregyháza Spartacus		Ajka

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.6	5.25
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.63	3.95	5.27
	1.58	3.68	5.65	Watch
	1.57	3.6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.41)	3.69 ↓ (3.8)	5.41 ↓ (7.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nyíregyháza Spartacus
58.1%

Draw
24.9%

Ajka
17%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

23.9%

11.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

22.7%

11%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nyíregyháza Spartacus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nyíregyháza Spartacus's form might have worsened.

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ajka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nyíregyháza Spartacus than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nyíregyháza Spartacus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ajka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ajka Predictions

Users Predictions: Nyíregyháza Spartacus will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dala M. (G) 4. Alaxai A. 13. Gengeliczki G. 49. Geresi K. 19. Greso M. 11. Herjeczki K. 93. Kesztyus B. 77. Nagy B. 14. Nagy D. 21. Ryashko M. 33. Tamas O.	97. Szabados I. (G) 74. Bence B. 7. Borsos F. 13. Csemer G. 17. Gorgenyi D. 25. Jagodics B. 27. Szarka A. 22. Tajthy T. 34. Tar Z. 20. Toth G. 9. Zsolnai R.
Substitutes
1. Bese B. (G) 20. Cseh N. 95. Fejer B. (G) 23. Kovacsreti M. 7. Myke 92. Nemeth B. 9. Novak C. 22. Pataki B. 8. Siger A. 17. Vass P.	71. Antal G. 1. Balogh M. (G) 8. Berzsenyi K. 14. Gaal B. 31. Horvath D. (G) 77. Horvath P. 11. Presinger A. 6. Rabatin R. 18. Sejben V. 29. Szucs K. 10. Vogyicska B.

Preview

Playing home matches at a different stadium.

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ OTP Bank Liga and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Nyíregyháza won 2.

Nyíregyháza is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ajka has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Nyíregyháza is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nyíregyháza won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Nyíregyháza won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nyíregyháza Spartacus
Hungarian NB II
22.10.23	Vasas - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	3:0 ✺
08.10.23	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Kazincbarcikai	1:0 ✺
02.10.23	Pecsi - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	0:4 ✺
27.09.23	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Mosonmagyaróvár	2:0 ✺
24.09.23	Szeged 2011 - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWWWT
- Ajka
Hungarian NB II
22.10.23	Ajka - Kozármisleny	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Csákvári - Ajka	1:0 ✺
01.10.23	Ajka - BVSC-Zugló	0:1 ✺
27.09.23	Gyirmót - Ajka	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Ajka - Siofok	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
26.02.23	Ajka - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	4:1
28.08.22	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ajka	1:1
06.03.22	Ajka - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	1:1
12.09.21	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ajka	2:0
16.05.21	Ajka - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	0:1
29.11.20	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ajka	1:2
16.02.20	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Ajka	0:1

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