Match Info

HUNGARY: MERKANTIL BANK LIGA - ROUND 8

Date: 24 September 2023, Sunday


	Ajka		Siofok

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.4	4.25
	1.75	3.45	4.55	Watch
	1.75	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.23)	3.42 ↑ (3.2)	4.37 ↑ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ajka
51.7%

Draw
27.1%

Siofok
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

29.1%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

29.3%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ajka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ajka's performance.

Siofok has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Siofok might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ajka than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ajka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Siofok than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Siofok could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ajka - Siofok Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Horvath D. (G) 74. Bence B. 7. Borsos F. 13. Csemer G. 19. Csizmadia Z. 5. Kenderes Z. 6. Rabatin R. 22. Tajthy T. 34. Tar Z. 20. Toth G. 9. Zsolnai R.	71. Hutvagner G. (G) 73. Bondi A. 3. Debreceni A. 37. Kitl M. 11. Major G. 8. Nemes M. 18. Polenyi G. 16. Szedlar Z. 21. Toth T. 81. Varjas Z. 4. Vekony V.
Substitutes
71. Antal G. 8. Berzsenyi K. 14. Gaal B. 17. Gorgenyi D. 15. Gyuris A. 25. Jagodics B. 11. Presinger A. 18. Sejben V. 97. Szabados I. (G) 27. Szarka A. 29. Szucs K. 10. Vogyicska B.	61. Csato M. 9. Denes C. 17. Girsik A. 14. Gyorgy N. 10. Laszlo D. 24. Menyhart Z. 25. Schildkraut K. 60. Szaka A. 7. Varga B. 6. Varga M. 26. Winter D. (G)

Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ajka won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ajka will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ajka won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Ajka won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ajka
Hungarian Cup
16.09.23	Ajka - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	1:0 ✺
Hungarian NB II
03.09.23	Ajka - Vasas	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Kazincbarcikai - Ajka	1:0 ✺
19.08.23	Ajka - Pecsi	0:2 ✺
16.08.23	Mosonmagyaróvár - Ajka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLW
- BFC Siofok
Hungarian Cup
16.09.23	Budaörsi SC - Siofok	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB II
03.09.23	Siofok - Szombathelyi Haladas	1:1 ✺
27.08.23	Vasas - Siofok	4:0 ✺
19.08.23	Siofok - Budapest Honved	2:1 ✺
16.08.23	Kazincbarcikai - Siofok	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLWT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB II
19.03.23	Siofok - Ajka	0:2
02.10.22	Ajka - Siofok	3:1
30.01.22	Siofok - Ajka	2:1
08.08.21	Ajka - Siofok	1:1
16.09.20	Ajka - Siofok	1:1
06.10.19	Siofok - Ajka	2:2

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