Match Info

Super League - Round 34

Date: 23 May 2025, Friday


	Nzoia United		Kibera Black Stars

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.76	2.27
				Watch
	2.58	3.44	2.32
	3.45	2.9	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.5)	3.37 ↑ (2.8)	2.21 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nzoia United
32%

Draw
27%

Kibera Black Stars
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

33.5%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nzoia United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kibera Black Stars's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nzoia United than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nzoia United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kibera Black Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Nzoia United - Kibera Black Stars Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Nzoia United (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Kibera (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kibera (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Nzoia United (votes: 1 - 25%). Kibera (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Chesara E. ⚽,
42', 1 - 1, Wekesa E. (Pen),
43', 2 - 1, Maliachi E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', Opiyo D. (Pen),
62', Kipkirui E. (Pen),
62', 2 - 2, Kipkirui E. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, Oyugi J. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 5).

Recent form of Nzoia United has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kibera is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Kibera has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nzoia United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nzoia United
Kenyan Super League
18.05.25	Vihiga United - Nzoia United	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Kisumu All-Stars - Nzoia United	3:1 ✺
01.05.25	Nzoia United - Muhoroni Youth	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Nzoia United - Luanda Villa	0:1 ✺
12.04.25	MCF - Nzoia United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLWLL
- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
18.05.25	Kibera Black Stars - Fortune Sacco	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Kibera Black Stars - Nairobi United	1:0 ✺
30.04.25	Kibera Black Stars - 3K	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	MOFA - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Kibera Black Stars - Muhoroni Youth	Kibera awarded ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWL?

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
11.12.24	Kibera Black Stars - Nzoia United	2:1

Nzoia United - Kibera Black Stars: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide