Match Info

Super League - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday


	Kibera Black Stars		Nairobi United

	1	X	2
	2.52	3.02	2.66
	2.56	2.83	2.73
	3.1	2.75	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↓ (3.17)	2.87 ↑ (2.84)	2.56 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kibera Black Stars
33.2%

Draw
31.5%

Nairobi United
35.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

32.1%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

32.7%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kibera Black Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Nairobi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kibera Black Stars than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nairobi United than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
80', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).

Kibera has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nairobi United is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Kibera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nairobi United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kibera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kibera Black Stars
Kenyan Super League
30.04.25	Kibera Black Stars - 3K	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	MOFA - Kibera Black Stars	2:1 ✺
18.04.25	Kibera Black Stars - Muhoroni Youth	Kibera awarded ✺
05.04.25	Kibera Black Stars - Luanda Villa	0:0 ✺
29.03.25	Darajani Gogo - Kibera Black Stars	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WL?TT
- Nairobi United
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.05.25	Nairobi United - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
Kenyan Super League
26.04.25	Vihiga United - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
23.04.25	Migori Youth - Nairobi United	0:1 ✺
19.04.25	Nairobi United - MCF	0:0 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
12.04.25	Nairobi United - Kenya CB	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Super League
15.12.24	Nairobi United - Kibera Black Stars	1:3

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