The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Närpes 49.2%
Draw 19.4%
TP-47 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
20.1%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43%
20.2%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Närpes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Närpes's performance.
TP-47 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TP-47 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Närpes than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Närpes that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for TP-47 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TP-47 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Närpes - TP 47 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Kaarre M. (G) 5. Badnjevic R. 20. Bergvik V. 13. Ibric N. 9. Isanovic S. (C) 10. Kadic B. 7. Kalabic A. 19. Pomba L. 30. Skogman E. 18. Westerholm A. 11. Wulff W.
25. Rapo J. (G) 6. Ajayi O. 8. Alamaki J. (C) 27. Autti L. 5. Isokangas J. 28. Kulju H. 22. Lantto E. 3. Mattinen V. 17. Niskala J. 2. Rauvala S. 21. Toivanen E.
Substitutes
8. Avdili A. 21. Chidobe O. 15. Halilcevic M. 27. Juslin F. 14. Krak E. 31. Norrgard J. (G) 6. Sifet B.
20. Barrow A. 12. Karvonen N. (G) 16. Korkeamaki H. 9. Nurkkala M. 99. Pitkanen A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Wulff W. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Alamaki J. ⚽,
37', Toivanen E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Bergvik V. ↓, Avdili A. ↑,
46', Toivanen E. ↓, Korkeamaki H. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, (Own goal),
56', Pomba L. 🟨,
58', Pomba L. ↓, Sifet B. ↑,
69', Autti L. ↓, Barrow A. ↑,
76', Mattinen V. 🟨,
79', Barrow A. 🟨,
82', Wulff W. ↓, Krak E. ↑,
83', Alamaki J. 🟨,
86', Isokangas J. ↓, Pitkanen A. ↑,
89', Skogman E. ↓, Chidobe O. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Kakkonen Group C (Winners stage: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 1.
Now, both teams are in good form.
TP-47 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Närpes could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Närpes won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.8:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Närpes won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:7. (average 2.6:1.4).
Finland
Watch
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Kaarre M. (G) 
Ibric N. 
Ajayi O. 
Barrow A. 
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