Match Info

3rd Division

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: ALPI Arena Naesby (Odense)


	Næsby		Avarta

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	3.4
	1.9	3.5	3.6	Watch
	1.88	3.57	3.63	Watch
	1.93	3.85	3.44
	1.9	3.5	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	3.53 ↑ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Næsby
48.5%

Draw
25.6%

Avarta
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

25.8%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

24.9%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Næsby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Næsby's performance.

Avarta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avarta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Næsby than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avarta than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Næsby - Avarta Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

1X2, 1st Half - Næsby (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Næsby (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+5', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 3rd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 8 in the zone 3rd Division (Relegation Group: )).

Avarta is 3rd Division (Relegation Group )

Last 5 head-to-head matches Næsby won 4.

Næsby is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Avarta is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Næsby could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Næsby won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 20:14 (average 2.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Næsby won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:6 (average 2.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Næsby BK
Danish 3 Division
05.04.25	FA 2000 - Næsby	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Young Boys FD - Næsby	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	Næsby - Brabrand	2:3 ✺
15.03.25	Holbæk - Næsby	0:0 ✺
08.03.25	Næsby - Odder	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LTLTT
- Avarta
Danish 3 Division
06.04.25	Avarta - Brabrand	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Lyseng - Avarta	3:0 ✺
23.03.25	Avarta - Young Boys FD	3:2 ✺
15.03.25	Odder - Avarta	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Avarta - Brønshøj BK	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Danish 3 Division
18.08.24	Avarta - Næsby	0:5
25.05.24	Næsby - Avarta	5:1
12.05.24	Avarta - Næsby	1:3
06.04.24	Avarta - Næsby	2:4
19.08.23	Næsby - Avarta	0:0
Danish 2 Division - Group 2
08.10.17	Avarta - Næsby	3:0
25.08.17	Næsby - Avarta	2:5

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