The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Næstved BK 59.6%
Draw 22.6%
Thisted 17.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.7%
23.3%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.6%
22.2%
15.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Næstved BK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
Thisted has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Næstved BK than the current prediction. (+4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thisted than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Næstved BK - Thisted Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 2 - 0, ⚽,
30', (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 3 - 0, ⚽,
89', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 2nd Division (Promotion Group: ) and 12 in the zone 2nd Division (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 2.
Recent performances by Næstved have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Thisted has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Næstved may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Næstved has had a series of away games.
In this match, Næstved is the team to beat.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.5:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Næstved won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.3:1.6).
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