Match Info

Bundesliga Women - Round 6

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Location: Max-Morlock-Stadion (Nuremberg)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Magenta Sport
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
World	OneFootball TV


	Nürnberg		TSG Hoffenheim

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.85	3.60	2.00
	3.10	3.50	1.92	Watch
	2.99	3.98	2.08
	3	3.98	2.06	Watch
	2.95	3.75	2.05
	2.94	3.94	2.10
	2.95	3.75	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.97 ↓ (4.51)	3.79 ↓ (4.03)	2.03 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nürnberg
30.8%

Draw
24.2%

TSG Hoffenheim
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

22.4%

57.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21%

61.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nürnberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Nürnberg's performance.

TSG Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and TSG Hoffenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nürnberg than the current prediction. (-12%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Nürnberg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for TSG Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+16.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that TSG Hoffenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Nürnberg - TSG Hoffenheim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero L. (G) 17. Bleil M. 4. Lobanova A. 2. Varley L. 22. Pollak J. 11. Meroni L. 10. Brengel J. 9. Miller L. 24. Lein N. (C) 15. Papai E. 99. Lapassouse L.	1. Dick L. (G) 20. Gloning L. 25. van de Velde J. 14. Doorn L. 4. Kaut L. 6. Diehm V. (C) 26. Grimm J. 9. Steiner M. 21. Martret L. 19. Folmli S. 23. Hahn C.
Substitutes
33. Adamczyk R. (G) 77. Barboz M. 21. Bednorz K. 6. Coutel C. 5. Frohlich C. 19. Homann S. 7. Licina S. 18. Mai F. 3. Proniez F.	30. Bitzer N. 15. Fenger M. 18. Kemper I. 28. Lichtfus L. (G) 11. Natter L. 16. Roder M. 36. Thomann V.
Coaches
Adlani O.	Virsinger M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Papai E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 1 - 1, Folmli S. ⚽, Martret L. (A),
53', Varley L. 🟨,
62', Papai E. ↓, Homann S. ↑,
62', Pollak J. ↓, Bednorz K. ↑,
70', Miller L. 🟨,
76', Lapassouse L. ↓, Proniez F. ↑,
78', Hahn C. ↓, Natter L. ↑,
85', Folmli S. ↓, Fenger M. ↑,
87', 1 - 2, van de Velde J. ⚽, Martret L. (A),
89', Martret L. ↓, Bitzer N. ↑,
89', Brengel J. ↓, Coutel C. ↑,
90+3', Homann S. 🟨,

Preview

A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 13th in the Relegation - 2. Bundesliga Women and 11th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nürnberg won 0.

The recent form of both sides has fallen below expectations.

Nürnberg may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Hoffenheim carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Nürnberg has recorded 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:12 (averaging 0.3:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Nürnberg against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:6 goals (averaging 0:3 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Hoffenheim W	6	2	0	4	8:11	-3	6
13	1.FC Nurnberg W	6	0	2	4	9:21	-12	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Nürnberg Women
German Bundesliga Women
20.09.26	Hamburger SV - Nürnberg	5:1 ✺
12.09.26	RB Leipzig - Nürnberg	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Nürnberg - Stuttgart	3:3 ✺
30.08.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Nürnberg - Wolfsburg	2:8 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 LLTTL
- TSG Hoffenheim Women
German Bundesliga Women
18.09.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
13.09.26	Eintracht Frankfurt - TSG Hoffenheim	4:2 ✺
04.09.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Bayer 04 Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
28.08.26	Köln - TSG Hoffenheim	1:0 ✺
23.08.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Women
25.07.26	TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	0:0
German Bundesliga Women
08.02.26	Nürnberg - TSG Hoffenheim	0:3
24.09.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	1:1
Club Friendly Women
24.08.25	TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	3:1
German Bundesliga Women
09.03.24	TSG Hoffenheim - Nürnberg	2:0
13.10.23	Nürnberg - TSG Hoffenheim	0:3

Nürnberg - TSG Hoffenheim: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide