Match Info

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	ONS Oulu		TPS

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.83	5.67	Watch
	1.42	4.74	6.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.39)	4.79 ↑ (4.5)	5.87 ↓ (6.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

ONS Oulu
65.1%

Draw
19.2%

TPS
15.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

20.4%

13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.9%

19.5%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

ONS Oulu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

TPS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ONS Oulu than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for TPS than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ONS Oulu - TPS Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 0, Iida-Elena P. ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Jamsa M. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ONS won 4.

ONS has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

TPS is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, ONS is the clear favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, ONS won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:23. (average 1.4:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, ONS won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ONS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen Women
17.05.26	Honka - ONS Oulu	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	ONS Oulu - HJS	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	KTP - ONS Oulu	3:2 ✺
26.04.26	ONS Oulu - HJK Akatemia	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	PKKU - ONS Oulu	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LWLWW
- TPS Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
17.05.26	KTP - TPS	2:1 ✺
09.05.26	PKKU - TPS	3:1 ✺
20.04.26	TPS - HJS	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Esbo Bollklubb - TPS	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	TPS - HJK Akatemia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen Women
21.03.26	TPS - ONS Oulu	0:0
14.06.25	ONS Oulu - TPS	3:1
Finnish Kansallinen Liiga Women
07.10.23	ONS Oulu - TPS	2:0
16.09.23	TPS - ONS Oulu	0:3
05.08.23	TPS - ONS Oulu	0:1
21.05.23	ONS Oulu - TPS	1:2
28.09.19	TPS - ONS Oulu	2:0

ONS Oulu - TPS: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide