Match Info

Kansallinen Ykkonen Women

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday


	HJK Akatemia		ONS Oulu

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.50	3.40
	1.92	4.12	3.05
	2.13	3.62	2.88	Watch
	1.85	4.00	2.85
	1.84	3.70	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.63)	3.79 ↓ (3.85)	3.13 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

HJK Akatemia
47.2%

Draw
23.9%

ONS Oulu
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

23.6%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

22.5%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

HJK Akatemia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HJK Akatemia's form might have worsened.

ONS Oulu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ONS Oulu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJK Akatemia than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HJK Akatemia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ONS Oulu than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ONS Oulu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

HJK Akatemia - ONS Oulu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Ubani E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
68', 2 - 0, Mero A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 1, Mutikainen J. ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Kansallinen Ykkonen Women (Relegation Group: )).

HJK Akatemia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ONS has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

HJK Akatemia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

HJK Akatemia might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, HJK Akatemia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, HJK Akatemia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HJK Akatemia Women
Finnish Ykkonen Women
30.06.26	HJK Akatemia - Keski-Uusimaa	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Honka - HJK Akatemia	1:0 ✺
24.06.26	HJK Akatemia - TPS	4:1 ✺
10.06.26	KTP - HJK Akatemia	2:4 ✺
31.05.26	Esbo Bollklubb - HJK Akatemia	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLWWL
- ONS Oulu
Finnish Ykkonen Women
27.06.26	ONS Oulu - Keski-Uusimaa	3:0 ✺
13.06.26	Esbo Bollklubb - ONS Oulu	2:0 ✺
06.06.26	ONS Oulu - Lahti	0:1 ✺
27.05.26	Jyväskylän PK - ONS Oulu	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	ONS Oulu - TPS	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen Women
26.04.26	ONS Oulu - HJK Akatemia	2:0
05.07.25	HJK Akatemia - ONS Oulu	1:0

HJK Akatemia - ONS Oulu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide