Match Info

FINLAND: Kakkonen Group C - Losers stage

Date: 30 August 2024, Friday

Location: Heinäpää (Oulu)


	OTP		JS Hercules

	1	X	2
	4.2	4.4	1.53
	4.5	4.5	1.56
	3.63	4.46	1.66
	4.47	4.7	1.56
	4.5	4.5	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.26 ↑ (3.5)	4.51 ↑ (4.4)	1.57 ↓ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

OTP
21.5%

Draw
20.3%

JS Hercules
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.5%

21.1%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4%

21%

52.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

OTP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

JS Hercules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting JS Hercules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for OTP than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JS Hercules than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for JS Hercules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

OTP - JS Hercules Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Krabbendam E. A. (G) 7. Bohui C. 9. Hietala R. 35. Ibiyomi M. 14. Inalli A. 24. Jibrin A. (C) 11. Kokkonen M. 17. Loikkanen M. 21. Luolavirta N. 50. Ntambwe Y. 30. Savolainen R.	1. Niinivaara J. (G) 25. Huitsi E. 33. Immonen E. 13. Kurvinen J. 39. Lotvonen J. 19. Moilanen K. 2. Rauma K. 47. Sainila E. 29. Taumberger H. 28. Tervo L. 17. Viheriavaara U. (C)
Substitutes
2. Keinanen A. 1. Slewa G. (G) 19. Torabihaghighi S.	99. Korkala V. 12. Oikarinen A. (G) 20. Rajalahti A. 10. Sarajarvi K. 16. Sipola S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', Hietala R. ↓, Torabihaghighi S. ↑,
23', 0 - 1, Sainila E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Rauma K. ↓, Sarajarvi K. ↑,
46', Lotvonen J. ↓, Korkala V. ↑,
53', 0 - 2, Korkala V. ⚽,
61', Torabihaghighi S. 🟨,
62', Torabihaghighi S. ↓, Keinanen A. ↑,
64', 0 - 3, Korkala V. ⚽,
69', Kurvinen J. ↓, Rajalahti A. ↑,
73', Savolainen R. 🟨,
76', Huitsi E. ↓, Sipola S. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Taumberger H. ⚽,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches OTP won 2.

OTP has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

JS Hercules is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

JS Hercules will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's JS Hercules to win the game is with odds 1.77.

Last 8 head-to-head matches OTP won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-17.

Including matches at home between the teams OTP won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9-12.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oulun Työväen Palloilijat
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
23.08.24	OTP - Oulun Palloseura	2:3 ✺
10.08.24	OTP - JS Hercules	2:4 ✺
03.08.24	SJK Akatemia 2 - OTP	3:2 ✺
24.07.24	OTP - JBK	0:4 ✺
20.07.24	Närpes - OTP	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- JS Hercules
Finnish Kakkonen Group C
25.08.24	JS Hercules - JPS	8:0 ✺
10.08.24	OTP - JS Hercules	2:4 ✺
03.08.24	JS Hercules - Kuopion Elo	2:1 ✺
25.07.24	TP-47 - JS Hercules	3:2 ✺
17.07.24	JS Hercules - Oulun Palloseura	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group C
10.08.24	OTP - JS Hercules	2:4
08.06.24	JS Hercules - OTP	1:2
27.07.23	OTP - JS Hercules	3:1
06.05.23	JS Hercules - OTP	2:1
23.07.22	OTP - JS Hercules	2:3
08.05.22	JS Hercules - OTP	1:0
01.10.21	OTP - JS Hercules	2:4

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